David Stern's last draft. A sad day. Hoping he welcomes the boos with the same moxie as last year. For more in-depth analysis on these guys, check out my player capsules article. The way I rank players is in three ways. Ceiling, floor, and final grade. Pretty simple. The tiers are based on the number grade each prospect gets. I will introduce that here. None of the prospects finished with an A grade. No surprise there. Anthony Davis was only guy to finish with an A grade last year for me with a 96. I'll republish my 2012 rankings another time. The grading system.
Grading system 1-100
A+/A 100-95 = Can't miss franchise player. Best player on championship contender potential. Perennial MVP candidate. (LeBron and Duncan would have been graded 100)
A/A- 94-90 = Potential multiple All-Star and All-NBA 1st and 2nd team potential. Potential franchise player. Might be good enough to be best player on championship contender with good supporting cast or be an excellent second banana. (D-Wade and Westbrook)
B+/B 89-85 = Potential All-Star 1-3 times in career. All-NBA 3rd team potential. Average to low end second banana on championship contender. High-end 3rd best.
B/B- 84-80 = Might be 3rd best player on championship contender on high end. Solid starter on low end
C+/C 79-75 = Starter on high end. Impactful rotation player on low end
C/C- 74-70 = Potential rotation player on high end. Quality backup on low end.
D+/D 69-65 = Bench filler.
D/D- 64-60 = Out of league by end of rookie contract.
F - 59-0 = Bust on high end. Bobby Thompson blowing out his knee after getting crossed over on the 0 end.
1. Nerlens Noel 7'0" 226 lbs. PF Kentucky
Ceiling 93 Floor 77 Grade 89
2. Anthony Bennett 6'7" 239 lbs. PF UNLV
Ceiling 92 Floor 76 Grade 88
3. Victor Oladipo 6'4" 213 lbs. SG Indiana
Ceiling 89 Floor 80 Grade 88
4. Dennis Schroeder 6'2" 165 lbs. PG Germany
Ceiling 91 Floor 71 Grade 85
5. Ben McLemore 6'5" 189 lbs. SG Kansas
Ceiling 93 Floor 69 Grade 84
6. Trey Burke 6'1" 187 lbs. PG Michigan
Ceiling 86 Floor 75 Grade 84
7. Alex Len 7'1" 255 LBS. C Maryland
Ceiling 92 Floor 70 Grade 83
8. Otto Porter 6'8.5" 198 lbs. SF Georgetown
Ceiling 84 Floor 71 Grade 80
9. Michael Carter-Williams 6'6" 184 lbs PG Syracuse
Ceiling 87 Floor 66 Grade 78
10. CJ McCollum 6'3" 197 lbs PG Lehigh
Ceiling 83 Floor 70 Grade 78
11. Cody Zeller 7'0' 230 lbs. C Indiana
Ceiling 86 Floor 71 Grade 78
12. Giannis Adetokunbo 6'9" 196 lbs. SF Greece
Ceiling 90 Floor 50 Grade 77
13. Reggie Bullock 6'7" 200 lbs. SF North Carolina
Ceiling 82 Floor 72 Grade 77
14. Tim Hardaway Jr. 6'6" 199 lbs SG Michigan
Ceiling 84 Floor 70 Grade 77
15. Ricky Ledo 6'6" 197 lbs. SG Providence
Ceiling 85 Floor 63 Grade 77
16. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 6'6" 204 lbs SG Georgia
Ceiling 85 Floor 67 Grade 76
17. Sergey Karasev 6'7" 197 lbs. SF Russia
Ceiling 82 Floor 67 Grade 76
18. Glen Rice Jr. 6'6" 211 lbs. SG D-League
Ceiling 85 Floor 65 Grade 76
19. Lucas Noguiera 7'0" 220 lbs. PF Brazil
Ceiling 83 Floor 50 Grade 75
20. Shane Larkin 5'11.5" 171 lbs PG Miami
Ceiling 80 Floor 66 Grade 75
21. Jamaal Franklin 6'5" 191 lbs. SG San Diego St.
Ceiling 81 Floor 65 Grade 75
22. Steven Adams 7'0" 255 lbs. C Pittsburgh
Ceiling 87 Floor 65 Grade 74
23. Shabazz Muhammed 6'6" 222 lbs. SF UCLA
Ceiling 84 Floor 70 Grade 74
24. Myck Kabongo 6'3" 180 lbs PG Texas
Ceiling 82 Floor 50 Grade 73
25. Tony Mitchell 6'9" 236 lbs. SF North Texas
Ceiling 85 Floor 50 Grade 71
26. Tony Snell 6'7" 198 lbs. SF New Mexico
Ceiling 77 Floor 60 Grade 71
27. Jeff Withey 7'0.5" 222 lbs. C Kansas
Ceiling 79 Floor 64 Grade 70
28. Mike Muscala 6'11.5" 206 lbs C Bucknell
Ceiling 81 Floor 60 Grade 70
29. Mason Plumlee 7'0.5" 238 lbs. C Duke
Ceiling 77 Floor 64 Grade 70
30. Isaiah Canaan 6'0" 188 lbs PG Murray St.
Ceiling 77 Floor 50 Grade 68
31. Pierre Jackson 5'10.5" 176 lbs. PG Baylor
Ceiling 75 Floor 50 Grade 68
32. CJ Leslie 6'9" 209 lbs. PF NC St.
Ceiling 83 Floor 50 Grade 66
33. Allen Crabbe 6'6" 197 lbs. SG California
Ceiling 77 Floor 50 Grade 66
34. Gorgui Dieng 6'11" 230 lbs. PF Louisville
Ceiling 73 Floor 50 Grade 66
35. Rudy Gobert 7'2" 238 lbs C France
Ceiling 82 Floor 50 Grade 65
36. Andre Roberson 6'7" 206 lbs SF Colorado
Ceiling 76 Floor 50 Grade 64
37. Nate Wolters 6'5" 196 lbs. PG South Dakota St.
Ceiling 75 Floor 50 Grade 64
38. Kelly Olynyk 7'0" 234 lbs. PF Gonzaga
Ceiling 78 Floor 50 Grade 62
39. Erick Green 6'3" 178 lbs. PG Virginia Tech
Ceiling 77 Floor 50 Grade 62
40. Archie Goodwin 6'5" 189 lbs SG Kentucky
Ceiling 82 Floor 50 Grade 60
Some quick bullet points here.
Nerlens Noel, in my opinion, has the highest ceiling in this draft, but not by a lot.
Anthony Bennett is the surest best in my opinion to make an All-Star team the soonest.
Victor Oladipo has the highest floor. Pretty easy assessment.
I think Dennis Schroeder is wildly underrated. This will be a boom/bust prediction for me personally as 4th best player.
I like Myck Kabongo who needs a good situation to hit his potential. He has skills though.
I don't like Kelly Olynyk because his skills don't look translatable to me. I don't forsee a second contract.
That's it. Will update my grades very soon. Goodbye Stern. No one can replace the boos you bring on.
how bout cody zeller pulling a gholston and becoming the most athletic player to possibly every showcase at the combine. MJs track record doesnt seem to make anyone think this will translate.
ReplyDeletei like you gave mclemore the highest ceiling (tied with noel). thats my player of the draft.
giannis is cute. wish the celts kept the brazilian. happy simmons said cut out the rondo comparisons for zee german.
philly won this draft. always a little said seeing young guys get bad advice and enter the draft to be 2nd rounders.
Agreed. Zeller was a terrible pick because of who was on the board. Who would have thought the Bobcats would get worse?
ReplyDeleteSacramento has a new regime. Hopefully a good one. Would have like to see him go to a team with some vets, and not Boogie Cousins. We'll see.
Celts definitely should have kept Noguiera. Stupid move.
Philly KILLED this draft. Was also sad to see Ledo fall so far.